Market phases
Where a coin is in its cycle right now. The phase does not predict direction — it decides which setups make sense and which do not.
Updated September 4, 2026
Why a phase at all
The same pattern means different things depending on what came before it. A reversal signal during an accumulation range is one thing; the identical signal at the top of a vertical pump is another.
The phase is Sonarcast's answer to "what came before". It is computed from price behaviour, volume and volatility, and it exists to stop the scanner treating identical shapes as identical situations.
The phases you will see
Each describes a specific situation, not a mood:
- Active pump — price is rising fast on expanding volume. The move is alive; fading it is early.
- Late pump — the rise continues but momentum is thinning. The move is old, not yet broken.
- Exhaustion — buying has stopped keeping up with price. This is where a fade has the best odds.
- Sweep high / sweep low — an extreme was pierced and price came back. Liquidity above or below was consumed.
- Failed breakout — price left a range and could not hold outside it.
- Mature trend, up or down — a directional move with structure intact.
- Trend reversal — structure has broken against the prevailing direction.
The phase weights the setup
Each strategy carries a multiplier per phase. S1 (Pump Exhaustion) is worth 1.2× in exhaustion and 0.8× during an active pump — the same detected pattern, scored differently because the surroundings differ.
This is the whole point: a fade of a pump that is still accelerating is not the same trade as a fade of one that has stalled, and the score should say so rather than leaving the trader to remember.
How to read it
Read the phase before the setup, not after. It answers "what kind of situation is this" and therefore which ideas are even eligible.
A phase is not a forecast. "Exhaustion" is not a prediction of a drop; it says buying has stopped keeping pace, and that a reversal idea here rests on more than hope.
Common questions
- Does the phase predict where price goes?
- No. It describes the situation the coin is in. Its job is to decide which setups are appropriate, not which direction to expect.
- Why does the same setup have different scores?
- Because the phase multiplies it. The pattern may be identical while the surroundings are not, and a fade during an accelerating pump deserves less confidence than the same fade once buying has stalled.
- How often does the phase change?
- It follows the market, so it can change within hours on a fast coin and hold for days on a quiet one. It is recomputed every scan, not fixed once.